College football is a unique sport. Its small sample size + YoY new variables make it really hard for sportsbooks to dial in a set number for each player & create an efficient market. That’s where users who have the expertise can pick off good numbers early & create winning edges (+EV bettors generally see the backend of this experience & steam chase these guys moves)
But you’re no PhD Computer Science or Analytics
In comes Bettor Odds
Our projections team is filled with bettors who have years of experience building & backtesting models to win at a professional level (while keeping pulse on the ebbs and flows of the market aka injuries, influence steam, etc)
Models across
- College Football Sides & Totals
-College Basketball Sides & Totals
- MLB Sides/Totals & Player Props
Soon -> NFL Player Props
These will give you the upper hand by having a general understanding of where the market points a bet in specific. So.. how can you think like a modeler when watching a game to help your handicap?
True Score > Box Score
Our goal in modeling is to simulate the events 1000’s of times & project the most avg outcome… so, think like that. A 53 yard field goal goes in? How often is it good? It’s not worth 3pts, more like 1 (depending on kicker). Or a goalline fumble resulting in 0 points? Worst case you’d assume the team would have a shot at an easy field goal, right? When breaking down games as a true score, you can quickly find over/under reaction spots in the betting market due to the outcome of a game. Along with our Modeling, CC also watches and breaks down manually every major game in the CFB slate every weekend to produce subjective + data driven true scores to compare vs the next weeks opening lines
In baseball, this looks more like xStats. We see xStuff+, xBA, xFIP, etc to build out a log of what we could expect those players to do in any given situation. But there aren't enough expected statistics when it comes to college sports. Below is a link to the W1 games our team broke down on film. It's tedious, but the reason CC has provided a 60% win rate in the Bettor Odds community for the last 2 seasons
Check out CC's Week 1 True Scores
Our models are yours to use. Take the softballs we toss, use the odds platform to find the best prices in market & take profitable wagers. Code "CC" for 80% off the first month of https://bettorodds.co/